Categories: Crypto/NFTs

Bitcoin’s Key On-Chain Supply Metric Plummets To New Lows, Price Spike Looming?


Bitcoin‘s scarcity is growing remarkably in the market as small and large-scale investors continue to accumulate a substantial portion of the available coins, which could bolster BTC’s value in light of recent upside price momentum, signaling a potential extension of the uptrend.

A Significant Decline In Bitcoin Supply Ratio

Kyle Doops, a technical analyst and host of the Crypto Banter show, has reported a notable shift in Bitcoin’s key on-chain supply metric, particularly the Long/Short-Term Holder Supply Ratio, triggering speculations about BTC’s next price trajectory within the community. The decline in the critical metric typically means that long-term holders are becoming less dominant than short-term holders, indicating a drop in confidence among long-term investors.

According to Kyle Doops, the Long/Short-Term Holder Supply Ratio has dropped sharply to about 3.6, marking its lowest level in the ongoing market cycle. This significant drop to a new cycle low highlights a shift in BTC’s market dynamics. 

Furthermore, Kyle Doops stated that the development suggests fewer participants are sticking to long-term holdings, and sell-offs are gradually increasing. As a result, the market expert is confident that something massive could be imminent as the balance between short-term and long-term holders continues to change.

BTC’s Long/Short-Term Holder Supply Ratio at cycle low | Source: Kyle Doops on X

Other key metrics, such as Bitcoin’s Taker Buy/Sell Ratio, are displaying a positive trend as optimism in the market resurges, signaling renewed buying interest among traders and investors. Kyle Doops highlighted that the metric on Binance, which tracks the balance between aggressive buy and sell orders, shows that takers are back in full force, grabbing buy orders following a decline.

This shift in traders’ sentiment implies that demand for BTC is outpacing sell pressure, possibly leading to a bullish run. Thus, traders believe this is a critical time to sustain Bitcoin’s rise, particularly while it hovers above the $100,000 price level.

As Bitcoin moves closer to key levels, the rise in demand increases the expectation of a potential price breakout. Meanwhile, traders are presently keeping an eye out for indications of how this trend may affect BTC’s price direction in the upcoming weeks.

BTC At The Bull Market Zone

BTC‘s price may be fluctuating, which has triggered speculations about its near-term trajectory. However, CryptoQuant, a leading on-chain data platform, reports that the crypto asset is currently in the bull market zone, where the upward trend is dominant.

For the transition to the peak period, the short-term 30-day Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator moving average must surpass the long-term 365-day Bull-Bear Market Cycle Indicator moving average. The crossover may indicate a more robust bullish trend and raises the possibility of a price surge.

Should the indicator stay higher than the 365-day Bull-Bear Market Cycle indicator moving average, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin will remain favorable. However, as prices move closer to the red zone, the platform noted that the likelihood of a correction may rise.

BTC trading at $100,230 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com



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